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SPOTLIGHT

1. MIGRATION

Facing the specter of the globe's biggest and harshest mass journeys

HARINAGAR, Bangladesh -- One by one, the men in Gaurpodomando's family, unable to make a living here, walked out of this mud-caked village and never returned. Now, Gaurpodomando, who said he is about 35 years old, is the last man in his family still living in the waterlogged village along Bangladesh's Indian border. But one day soon, he and an untold number of others in Bangladesh and around the world may have to leave their homes, too, as climate change makes vast parts of Africa and Asia uninhabitable.

2. POLICY

Preparing to confront the unknowable

Any way you look at it, the numbers on climate migration are staggering. The problem is, there are a lot of ways to look at it. One study says 100 million people will be displaced by global warming. Another puts it at 250 million, and yet another says the number could be 1 billion, an almost unthinkable crush of humanity. How can the numbers be so wildly disparate? The truth is, researchers acknowledge, that though climate migration may be the defining issue of the century, it is calculated with fuzzy math.

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