Trump has been able to keep oil prices low. But that power may not last forever.

By Scott Waldman | 08/04/2026 01:35 PM EDT

President Donald Trump’s ability to talk down oil and gas prices may be fading just as Republicans enter the midterm stretch.

President Donald Trump speaks during a meeting about military families.

President Donald Trump speaks Monday in the Oval Office of the White House. Alex Brandon/AP

President Donald Trump on Saturday abruptly called off the “biggest attacks since World War II” against Iran in favor of negotiations, the latest in a seemingly endless series of whiplashes in the conflict.

The energy markets, which typically favor stability and predictability, responded with little more than a shrug.

Crude prices dipped slightly and gas prices remained steady. Even as the war stretches past the six-month mark and the midterms creep closer, Trump has been able to keep retail prices lower than experts say they should be through the sheer power of promises — which have yet to come through — of a swift end to the conflict. On Monday, he took that a step further, chastising the major oil companies for “making too much money” off global oil shortages as a result of the war.

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“They better cut the retail price, the consumer price,” Trump said. “I’ll say it loud and clear. I’m not happy about it.”