All the trade promises the EU and the US never meant to keep

By Camille Gijs, Ben Munster, Oliver Ward, Marianne Gros, Ari Hawkins, Chris Lunday, Mathieu Pollet, Pieter Haeck | 07/17/2026 06:28 AM EDT

A year after Donald Trump shook hands with Ursula von der Leyen on a trade deal, POLITICO assesses how their commitments have held up.

Donald Trump shakes hands with Ursula von der Leyen.

President Donald Trump (right) shakes hands with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (center) next to Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi prior to a working session at the G7 summit in Evian-les-Bains, central-eastern France, on June 16. Pool photo by Thibault Camus

BRUSSELS — When Ursula von der Leyen and Donald Trump struck their trade truce at his Scottish golf club last July, they made fulsome promises to each other — to reduce tariffs, boost energy purchases, ease green and tech regulations, and cooperate on artificial intelligence.

Nearly a year on, many of the commitments made at Turnberry are proving hard to keep. Some — like a pledge by von der Leyen that European businesses would purchase U.S. energy worth $750 billion through 2028 — were never realistic in the first place.

With the ink barely dry on the legislation the EU passed to keep its side of the bargain, Brussels and Washington are already exploring where they might collaborate next. But with Trump blowing hot and cold toward Europe, the deal could always unravel.

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Brussels, for its part, says it is committed to the pact.

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