The world is almost certain to surpass the 2 degree warming limit set out in the Paris Agreement, according to a new analysis.
The Rhodium Group’s Climate Outlook 2025 report released Monday estimates that global temperatures would rise 2.3 to 3.4 degrees Celsius by the end of the century, with an average of 2.8 degrees.
Global greenhouse gas emissions are likely to stay constant or decline through 2060 before gradually increasing once again, it predicts.
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“While the world has likely avoided the dire predictions of a decade ago, if current trends persist, the probability of limiting warming below 2°C before the end of the century — the Paris Agreement target — remains below 5 percent,” the analysis says.
