Climate change is coming for your water bill, study says

By Miranda Willson | 07/09/2026 01:06 PM EDT

At least 12 million Americans already struggle to afford water bills, EPA estimates. A new study finds that climate change could make it worse.

A brass water faucet

Climate change will strain water supplies and, in turn, American's water utility bills, according to a new study. Patrick Pahlke/Unsplash

Water bills could double by midcentury in some cities as climate change strains supplies, to the point where over a quarter of U.S. families may struggle to afford water service, according to a new study.

Researchers at Stanford University developed a model to estimate how drought and water shortages driven by climate change could affect costs in urban areas, using Santa Cruz as a case study.

They found that under a best-case scenario, 26 percent of households in the Southern California city could have trouble paying for water bills. Under an extremely dry climate, that number could rise to 35 percent.

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Published Wednesday in Nature Sustainability, the findings are relevant to other water-stressed cities like Los Angeles and San Diego. And they foretell a major challenge in the coming years for drinking water providers, which are already contending with the steep cost of replacing aging infrastructure.

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