In a hurricane season of ‘mixed signals,’ Melissa stands out 

By Chelsea Harvey | 10/31/2025 06:15 AM EDT

Only one other year on record boasted more Category 5 storms in a single season.

A NOAA satellite image captures Hurricane Melissa churning through the Caribbean on Tuesday.

A NOAA satellite image captures Hurricane Melissa churning through the Caribbean on Tuesday. NOAA via AP

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is officially above average with a month left to go.

One way to tell is a benchmark called total accumulated cyclone energy, or ACE, a metric that accounts for the cumulative wind speed and strength of all the storms that form in the course of a season. Hurricane Melissa’s rampage through the Caribbean, as a record-breaking Category 5 storm, has officially pushed this year’s ACE above the average mark by the National Weather Service’s definition.

Meanwhile, the 2025 season is above average in terms of its total number of major hurricanes, or storms achieving Category 3 or higher. That’s notable because the season right now is about average in terms of the total number of named storms — and slightly below average in terms of the number of hurricanes.

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Those metrics, of course, could shift before the season officially closes on Nov. 30. Scientists say there’s still time for more storms to form over the next few weeks, especially with unusually warm water temperatures persisting in the Caribbean.

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