People are dying from climate change. But how many?

By Chelsea Harvey | 08/22/2025 06:15 AM EDT

A team of researchers hopes to provide the long-elusive answer, thanks to the growing field of attribution science.

A protester carries a portrait of Montse Aguilar, a street cleaner who died during a recent heat wave, with a message in Spanish that reads, "Justice for Montse," during a protest over her death in Barcelona, Spain, on Wednesday, July 16, 2025.

A protester carries a portrait of Montse Aguilar, a street cleaner who died during a recent heat wave in Barcelona, Spain. Joan Mateu Parra/AP

More than 20 years ago, the World Health Organization tried to answer a tricky question: How many people die each year because of climate change?

Its 2003 seminal report put the number at 150,000, with deaths driven by dangerous temperatures, extreme weather events, food and water shortages, air pollution and disease. A second report, a year later, came to a similar conclusion: around 166,000 deaths annually.

Those were almost certainly underestimates — probably by large margins. In the years since, researchers have uncovered scores of climate impacts that harm human health.

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Now a team of researchers is preparing to update the WHO’s original estimate. They’ve dubbed the project the Global Burden of Climate Change Study, and they’re hoping to make it one of the most comprehensive climate-and-health investigations to date.

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