Physical activity drops as temperatures rise. That’s deadly.

By Chelsea Harvey | 03/17/2026 06:44 AM EDT

A new study finds that hundreds of thousands of people could die every year as heat lowers their activity levels.

Visitors watch the sunset at Death Valley National Park in California.

Visitors watch the sunset at Death Valley National Park in California. John Locher/AP

Rising temperatures are contributing to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people worldwide in an unexpected way — by reducing their physical activity.

A study published Monday in the medical journal The Lancet Global Health warns that physical inactivity increases by an average of 1.5 percentage points for every month a country experiences average temperatures above 82 degrees Fahrenheit. The largest effect is borne by low- and middle-income countries, where inactivity levels rise faster than the global average.

Based on other medical studies, the researchers estimate that around 6.5 million people die each year as a result of inactivity, which can increase the risk of heart disease, infectious disease and other life-threatening conditions. They expect that number to grow as global temperatures continue to rise.

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How fast the death toll increases depends on how fast the planet warms.

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