Shipping rules took aim at pollution. Did they backfire on climate?

By Chelsea Harvey | 06/03/2024 06:42 AM EDT

Pollution particles can help clouds reflect sunlight away from Earth. Marine fuel regulations may have muted this effect.

Cargo ships billow smoke from their engines while passing through the Pedro Miguel locks at the Panama Canal near Panama City.

Cargo ships billow smoke from their engines while passing through the Pedro Miguel locks at the Panama Canal near Panama City. Arnulfo Franco/AP

For the past few years, scientists have debated a tantalizing question about Earth’s climate. Could reducing air pollution from ships be driving global temperatures skyward?

A new study says it’s happening. Published last week, the research suggests that new environmental regulations for shipping have effectively ended a decadeslong accidental geoengineering experiment that had artificially dampened the effects of global warming.

Now that pollution is down, it argues, temperatures are suddenly rising at faster rates.

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“It’s a big kind of a shock to the system, instead of gradually increasing with time,” said lead study author Tianle Yuan, a senior research scientist at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County, and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center.

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