USGS: China export bans could cost US billions

By Hannah Northey | 11/19/2024 04:25 PM EST

Federal officials released research Tuesday that shows how costly and disruptive China’s exports bans could be on the nation’s economy and security.

David Applegate smiles as he sits at a congressional witness table.

David Applegate, the director of the U.S. Geological Survey, testifying at his 2022 confirmation hearing. Francis Chung/POLITICO

The U.S. economy could see a $3.4 billion hit if China imposes a total ban on gallium and germanium, critical components for computer chips, according to new federal research.

The U.S. Geological Survey on Tuesday unveiled those findings along with a model the agency created to assess the economic effect of disruptions on supplies of critical minerals.

Under the Energy Act of 2020, a critical mineral is a material that’s essential to the nation’s economic and national security but faces vulnerabilities to disruption.

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Export bans are a risk the U.S. faces, said USGS Director David Applegate. He noted that China imposed export licensing controls on mineral commodities containing gallium and germanium in 2023, requiring state approval for all exports.

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