‘Weather whiplash’ threatens California with more misery

By Chelsea Harvey | 01/17/2025 06:21 AM EST

A continuation of dry conditions means more kindling for fires raging in the region. But heavy rainfall brings its own dangers, too, including mudslides.

A helicopter drops water while fighting the Auto Fire on Jan. 13 in Ventura County, California.

A helicopter drops water while fighting the Auto Fire on Jan. 13 in Ventura County, California. Noah Berger/AP

As deadly wildfires continue to burn in Southern California, with the Eaton and Palisades fires now ranking among California’s deadliest and most destructive blazes on record, experts are anxiously turning their attention to the weeks and months ahead.

If dry conditions persist, it could raise the risk of more fires sparking while the state’s resources are stretched thin. But if the weather shifts and rain starts pouring — a frequent occurrence during California’s wet winter season — it could trigger dangerous debris flows on an already scorched landscape.

Taken together, it’s a precarious situation for Southern California, where “things can change suddenly” during the winter months, according to John Abatzoglou, a climate scientist at the University of California, Merced.

Advertisement

There “will be a challenge for many if an atmospheric river decides to make a late appearance in the LA Basin,” he wrote in an email to POLITICO’s E&E News.

GET FULL ACCESS