Key forecast predicts dire Colorado River conditions

By Annie Snider | 04/07/2026 04:18 PM EDT

Flows into Lake Powell are expected to reach just 22 percent of average as the administration weighs politically risky management choices.

Boats in low water at the Antelope Point Marina in Lake Powell.

Boats are seen in low water at the Antelope Point Marina in Lake Powell on the Colorado River in Page, Arizona, on Sept. 4, 2022. Robyn Beck/AFP via Getty Images

Flows down the Colorado River are projected to plunge toward record lows this spring and summer, a crucial April forecast has predicted.

A hot, dry winter topped off with a March heat wave across the West has federal forecasters anticipating just 22 percent of average flows into Lake Powell. And that’s only if the rest of the season matches historical averages.

If the hot, dry trend continues, this year could easily beat the record-low inflow of 2002, Colorado River Basin Forecast Center hydrologist Cody Moser said on a webinar Tuesday.

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“If we were to see 2002 [style] precipitation and temperature through the end of July, that would result in a new record low,” Moser said.

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