NOAA expects below-normal Pacific hurricane season

By Daniel Cusick | 05/16/2025 01:29 PM EDT

Officials say advanced technology will allow for earlier wind speed and storm surge forecasts for Hawaii.

A satellite image showing Hurricane Hilary.

A satellite image shows Hurricane Hilary off the Pacific coast of Mexico on Aug. 17, 2023. NOAA via AP

Between one and four tropical cyclones are forecast to form in the Pacific Basin this year, NOAA said, which would be a below-normal season.

In an early season Pacific storm forecast, NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center and Climate Prediction Center said the outlook “is a guide to the overall seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the central Pacific Basin and does not predict whether or how many of these systems will affect Hawaii.” A near-normal season, which starts June 1, has four or five tropical storms.

“Even though this season is predicted to be less active, now is the time for residents and businesses to prepare for hurricane season,” Chris Brenchley, director of the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, said in a news release.

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The central Pacific is defined as ocean area north of the equator and between 140 degrees west and the International Date Line.

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