US data centers’ electricity use could double by 2030, DOE lab says

By Christa Marshall | 06/22/2026 06:45 AM EDT

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory estimated the facilities could use roughly 11.8 percent of U.S. power by the end of the decade.

A data center in Ashburn, Virginia.

Data centers now use roughly 4.5 percent of U.S. electricity, but they are expected to constitute more than 40 percent of demand growth in the next five years, researchers estimate. Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

Data centers could more than double their share of U.S. power and account for 9.5 to 15 percent of electricity use by decade’s end, according to a new analysis backed by the Department of Energy.

The long-awaited report from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory suggests that pressure on the electricity grid from artificial intelligence is growing. The findings are the first major estimate from the lab on data centers’ future power use during the second Trump administration.

“Although successive generations of computing hardware improve in energy efficiency,” the report says, “the scale and growth of computational demand more than offset these efficiency gains, leading to continued increases in absolute electricity consumption.”

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The assessment, which was posted on the lab’s website, comes amid skyrocketing electricity prices and pressure on utilities and regulators to ensure there is enough future power to feed the data center boom. On Thursday, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission launched a probe into whether regional grids are allocating the costs of grid upgrades fairly. That follows a rare Level 3 warning from North America’s grid watchdog in May about risks to the grid from large computational loads.

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